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SGX Nikkei 225 Futures - Jun 24

Singapore
Currency in JPY
Disclaimer
38,015.00
-175.00(-0.46%)
Closed

Nikkei 225 Futures Discussions

Even though inflation in Japan is high, the size of the BOJ’s balance sheet is already massive, the country is rife with zombie companies, the stock market is a bubble, savers in Japan get nothing on their savings and are correctly reluctant to invest in stocks because of the bubble, the people have seen their standard of living fall because of inflation, they have a super weak currency so cannot travel or invest abroad, the people are very unhappy with their government the BOJ insists upon an emergency crisis bank rate and is even still propping up assets with liquidity. How is such policy good?! The government needs to balance its budget and the BOJ nneds to raise rates. How is current policy suited to these problems?! It is just adding to them.
Zombi e has lost 3 times his money on his bet on this! The 8 accounts he uses to post and downvote factual posts on didnt help either.
Make another 10 accounts so you can really downvote. L o s e r.
Im sorry you are gullible and believed the sharks who took your money but downvoting factual posts about how Japanese stocks how and why are going to fall a lot wont help.
Endlessly monetizing government debt, as in Japan very very long running, is like a kid in a candy store who never leaves until his teeth fall out.
Lower highs and lower lows on multiple time frames does not paint a very good technical picture here. In fact, the picture is very bearish overall.
The rough return on earnings of this index is between 3 and 4%, but you can now get more than 5% on a two year or more than 5.4% on a three month T-note! Why would anyone honestly think a very very volatile index with a CAPE of 25 on a country with massive government debt, a GDP that has been flat for decades, and a falling population would be better?! Lol.
Heading to 37500 and lower on the cash market after the open today in Japan.
interest rate same. kkkkk. never change. stock is increase. yen is poor. 3x leverage 600% revenue kkk. boj always buy stock and make yen. today 1yen=0.0062 kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk
No. The BOJ no longer buys stock. It sold a lot of it, in fact, in recent months, and counterbalanced the sales with purchases of ETFs. But more recently, it completely ended its purchases of ETFs, and that was publicly announced. Your posts are wrong. Stop repeating that the BOJ is buying, because quite simply that is false.
Making multiple accounts so you can downvote multiple times wont change reality.
Make more accounts so you can downvote more, lol.
Japan just said Higher CPI and lower growth. 😳 🤣
Even elementary school students know that they had to raise interest rates this month to catch the yen. They are too late, and so will be the case this year. kkkkk .etf stock 3x leverage go~ .
Interest rate only 0.1 now after raised. Tiny amount.....
It looks like they've intervened. But this is only a short term impact and still yen will be a poop price.(this year.interest rate same.kkkk.)
Issues associated with trade between Japan and China could impact profits by some Japanese tech companies that sell to China. Hence, that is yet another potential negative for this index. Also, Japanese companies that source their manufacturing or some part of it to Chinese companies, I imagine, could run into difficulties as a result of the above if tit for tat results between the two countries. Again, that is yet another negative for this tech heavy index. Third, if China and others, like Hong Kong and Singapore continue to improve economically, all of the hot money that moved out of China and into Japan could go in reverse. Hence, be careful about buying or holding this index, or any Japanese stocks. A falling market for these reasons often sinks all boats.
Oh yeah. All central banks are going to protect bubbles! The US real estate and stock market are both clearly bubbles and so is the Japanese stock market. But so what?! There are other markets that are underpriced, including Singapore, Australia, the UK, Spain and Hong Kong. Why would investors want to pile in on overpriced stocks and markets like Japan and the US when others are clearly not bubbles?! Any smart investor, no matter what central banks do, is nuts to pile in and buy overpriced stocks. And especially when there are plenty of other cheap stocks out there. And no central bank can control silly people who are going to lose their shirts. And why would all central banks want to protect these bubbles? If I were a central banker in Singapore, for example, if I was intelligent, I wouldn't want to protect a bubble anywhere else!! I would want investors to invest in my country's stocks and would be happy about it if they did because they would be investing their money safely. Bubbles do burst, no matter what central banks do. And in reality, it is actually in the interest of everyone to bring down any bubbles so as to prevent them from getting bigger and causing major collapses.
But hey. Don't trust me. Leverage up and buy your bubble stocks in bubble markets! Be my guest. Central banks around the world are going to protect all bubbles. Dont worry. You are right. You are going to be very very rich.
Lastly, if central banks protect bubbles then why did the bubble in Japan in 1989 burst? Why did the bubble in stocks in 1929 burst? Why did the bubble in tech in 2000 burst? Why did the housing bubble burst in 2008? Why did the bubble in stocks in the US in 2020 burst? Please explain that.
Much as I explained only hours ago, the drop was bound to happen--and it could happen again. Yet another selling of US dollars in exchange for yen would cause a carry trade reversal. Expect more drops in the near term. I would also expect the BOJ is interested in selling more of its ETF position, and that the rotation out of tech will continue all providing major headwinds in addition to this being a bubble. Good luck if you are long this, but there are strong forces against you.
Exciting Great wild swings!‼️
A weak yen is good for Japan in some ways but it is also very problematic for the domestic economy. Japan exports a lot, but it also imports food and oil. A weak yen makes input costs a lot higher for a lot of goods. A lot of Japanese are also very unhappy with the government because a weak yen means they cannot travel abroad, and have to pay very high prices for imported goods. There are also companies in Japan that import from abroad, and they are currently losing a lot of money because of a weak yen. Hence it is not as clear cut as you suggest.
Furthermore, a strong dollar and weak yen hurts US companies that export to Japan, and hurts domestic companies in the US because they have to compete with cheaper and more profitable imports from Japan. Hence, I doubt the US government is very happy about a weak yen and it may even make for trade tensions between Japan and the US.
Or if not tensions, coordinated efforts to reverse the problem.
33600
33200 maybe
See its came down. ...enjoyyyyy
AGAIN negative HAHAHA ENJOY
I'd key an eye on dollar yen. There are major short positions on the yen. So if the Ministry of Finance were to well dollars and buy yen they might be able to stop out a lot of those short poitions and create a short squeeze. If that happened the carry trade would begin to unwind. Put another way those who borrowed yen to buy stocks would have to sell stocks to repay the loans. That whole process would cause stocks to potentially fall big and fast. So I'd be very careful in this market if you are long this index.
keep* an eye on / sell* dollars
I'd also be aware that the Nikkei 225 is very tech heavy, and the rotation out of tech at this point in the cycle has already begun. That means this index is going to go down and the top is already in.
Downvoted and yet I was exactly correct, as the big drop shows.
interest rate same. kkkkk. never change. stock is increase. yen is poor. 3x leverage 600% revenue kkk. boj always buy stock and make yen. today 1yen=0.0062 kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk
There is no chance of change, at least this year.kkkkkkkkkkk
The Japanese government is so heavily indebted that the BOJ cannot raise rates to strengthen its currency. Hence, I wonder if they have to implement austerity. I wonder what austerity would do to the Japanese stock market.
Raise rate to 2%??? Please dont mislead others.....
I'm not misleading anyone. I'm just saying if the BOJ had the will to raise rates it could easily afford to do that. And it could do it by cutting costs and balancing its budget. If it wanted to it could trim government staff, raise taxes on alcohol and tobacco, etc, for example. Will it though? I dunno really. It would obviously take the will to do it, but seeing as both the BOJ and government of Japan make no sense to me, I doubt they will suddenly change their profligate and futile ways.
Japan is also incredibly slow to do what it should, if it even ever does. So relax. That said, a hike to 2% would bring it out of its endless crisis mode, help banks that have been begging it to raise rates, give savers a return on savings, and make the government more careful about its spending. Just my opinion.
This is possibly going to the 32k-34k range before a sizable bounce, in my estimation. Lower highs again are appearing, much as when this fell from ATHs. Also, dont trust my estimation, do your own DD. Also, I strongly doubt we will see any more all time highs for a long long time. GLTA.
interest rate same. kkkkk. never change. stock is increase. yen is poor. 3x leverage 600% revenue kkk. boj always buy stock and make yen.
It's looking good so far. Bought in Japanese stocks when this hit hard. Could be wrong.
Nice when inflation numbers portend a deflationary bust incoming. That is what you get when you use printing, low interest rates, the endless propping up of zombie companies and the monetization of government debt vs fiscal responsibility and cleansing the system as your main economic engine. Nice work, nice tinkering BOJ!
U think way too much bro ‼️
Your way of thinking is too complicated..just saying..
Put simply, I think we are going to get deflation and a crash in the US, and also in Japan. It is only a matter of time now.
Foreign holders of Japanese stocks must beel like they are taking gut shots from Mike Tyson with this index and the yen double whammy. Funny the wonderful experts at the big banks like UBS are still saying Japan is a great investment. Where were these guys when the Nikkei was half the price and nobody could be paid to buy Japanese stocks. Lol.
The only difference between now and then is stocks are double the price, anyone who listens to UBS and these other experts has missed the entire rally, and they are probably going to lose half their money if they trust these people.
Short 37500 and below puts premium is high. Target price 0.
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