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Hotel REIT ratings revised by Goldman on recession risk

Published 01/10/2019, 08:55 AM
© Reuters.  Hotel REIT ratings revised by Goldman on recession risk
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  • Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) analysts revise hotel REIT ratings to reflect RevPAR growth for full-service hotels flattening to 0% by 2020 as supply growth increases and reflecting recession risk.
  • An average macro downturn could result in FY2020 EBITDA estimates being cut by 20%-25% and FFO/share estimates by 30%-40% write analysts led by Stephen Grambling.
  • DiamondRock Hospitality (NYSE:DRH) cut to neutral; higher competitive supply growth, less exposure to high-demand markets.
  • Park Hotels & Resorts (NYSE:PK) upgraded to neutral from sell; faces fewer supply pressures. Gains 2.1% in premarket trading.
  • InterContinental Hotels Group (NYSE:IHG) cut to neutral from buy on lower U.S. RevPAR estimates; slips 1.4%.
  • Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE:PEB) -1.5% after reinstated with sell rating; leverage from LaSalle deal tips risk-reward to negative.
  • Grambling also cuts price targets and estimates for gaming stocks on macro slowdown; VICI Properties (NYSE:VICI) raised to buy from neutral on "visibility and idiosyncratic growth potential."
  • Source: Bloomberg First Word.
  • Now read: My Winners And Losers Of 2018


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