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Commercial mREITs to benefit from Trump - FBR

Published 11/14/2016, 12:47 PM
Commercial mREITs to benefit from Trump - FBR
AAIC
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RITM
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  • While most residential mortgage REITs don't own floating-rate securities - and thus may see little benefit from higher rates - that's not true for commercial mREITs, says analyst Paul Miller.
  • Among his post-election favorites are Arlington Asset (AI +2.6%) and New Residential (NRZ +0.2%).
  • For AI, Miller and team says book value should be boosted in a rising rate environment as management already has hedges in place.
  • For New Residential, MSRs become more valuable as rate rise (slower refinances). Miller sees book gaining 3.8% should interest rates increase 50 basis points. In addition, the company's portfolio of agency and non-agency RMBS paper are both well-protected in a rising rate scenario.

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