Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

IMF says deepening negative interest rates an option for Bank of Japan

Published 10/18/2019, 06:49 PM
Updated 10/18/2019, 06:51 PM
IMF says deepening negative interest rates an option for Bank of Japan

By Leika Kihara

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Deepening negative interest rates remains an option if the Bank of Japan were to ramp up stimulus, though any such move must be accompanied by fiscal and structural steps to be effective, a senior International Monetary Fund official said on Friday.

Odd Per Brekk, deputy director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific department, also said the BOJ had room to enhance communication by linking its commitment to keep rates low more clearly to its 2% inflation target.

"We think that lowering the negative interest rate remains an option. Of course, given stubbornly anchored inflation expectations, a whole package (of steps) is needed, especially structural reforms," Brekk, who is the IMF's mission chief of Japan, told Reuters on the sidelines of the IMF and World Bank fall meetings.

The BOJ deployed an aggressive monetary easing program in 2013 as part of the "three arrows" of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's "Abenomics" stimulus policies, which were aimed at pulling the country out of deflation.

While the monetary easing and fiscal spending helped stimulate growth, critics say Abe failed to deliver on the structural reforms needed to boost Japan's growth potential, such as labor market reforms.

Brekk refrained from commenting on whether the BOJ could or should ease monetary policy at its rate review this month.

Markets are rife with speculation the BOJ could top up stimulus at its Oct. 30-31 meeting, after it signaled last month the chance of imminent action by warning of escalating overseas risks.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has said deepening negative rates is among key options if the central bank were to ease.

But the move is highly controversial as it would put further strain on financial institutions' profits and could discourage them from boosting lending. Some analysts warn that further rate cuts could push some regional banks into financial trouble.

Brekk said the plight of regional banks must be dealt with as a structural problem that can be addressed by strengthened oversight and supervision by bank regulators.

"What we are recommending is to deal with those issues through changes in business models. For regional banks, it may perhaps involve consolidation, though it may be difficult for many reasons," he said.

Under a policy dubbed yield curve control (YCC), the BOJ guides short-term rates at -0.1% and the 10-year government bond yield around 0% to achieve its elusive 2% inflation target.

It has pledged to keep rates at current ultra-low levels for an extended period of time, at least until around spring next year.

Latest comments

Who does this stimulate? How is a consumer supposed to benefit?
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.