Get 40% Off
🎁 Free Gift Friday: Copy Legendary Investors' Portfolios in One ClickCopy for Free

Hungary central bank holds rates, sees downward inflation risks

Published 08/27/2019, 09:45 AM
Updated 08/27/2019, 09:51 AM
Hungary central bank holds rates, sees downward inflation risks

By Krisztina Than

BUDAPEST (Reuters) - The National Bank of Hungary (NBH) left interest rates unchanged on Tuesday, as expected, amid slowing domestic inflation, a worsening euro zone economic outlook and global monetary easing.

The bank affirmed its accommodative monetary stance and also said there were downside risks to the longer-term inflation outlook due to lower-than-expected underlying inflation data at home and a worsening external economic environment.

"The monetary policy stance will continue to be accommodative," the Monetary Council said in a statement.

"Regarding the persistent inflation trends, downside risks have strengthened," it said, adding that data in the second half of the year will be decisive for the assessment of these trends.

The bank will discuss its new quarterly inflation report and economic forecasts at its next rate meeting in September.

The decision to keep the base rate at 0.9% and the overnight deposit rate at -0.05% was in line with the unanimous forecast of analysts in a Reuters poll last week.

Hungary's dovish central bank has said any necessary adjustment of monetary conditions would be implemented through changes in the overnight deposit rate or its tools designed to adjust market liquidity.

However, the bank was under no pressure to act right now. Inflation has slowed, and the economic outlook in the country's main trading partner, Germany, has turned negative.

"Inflation may be still above target, but it is falling back; what is more, the real economic situation is plummeting across the world, prominently in Germany - an important economic partner. The European Central Bank is expected to ease policy substantially in September using depo rate cuts and further QE," Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) said in a note before Tuesday's meeting.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

At 1321 GMT, the forint (EURHUF=D3), which has weakened toward 330 to the euro since the July rate meeting, traded at 329.00, a touch weaker from levels of 328.85 just before the bank's comments.

Hungarian core inflation, which reached the top of the NBH's 2% to 4% target range in May, had retreated to 3.7% by July. Last month, the bank said data since its June meeting confirmed its view of an expected decline in inflation from the end of this year.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.