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CFRA ups Macy's shares target amid EPS outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/21/2024, 09:30 AM
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On Tuesday, CFRA, a prominent market research firm, raised its price target on shares of Macy's (NYSE:M) to $19.00, up from the previous $18.00, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock.

The adjustment to the price target reflects a valuation of 7.2 times the firm's fiscal year 2025 (ending January) earnings per share (EPS) estimate, aligning with Macy's five-year average forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 7.0 times.

The firm has also increased its EPS estimates for Macy's, citing a $0.15 rise for fiscal year 2025 to $2.65, and a $0.20 increase for fiscal year 2026 to $2.80.

Macy's recently reported a normalized EPS of $0.27 for the first quarter, compared to $0.56 in the same period last year, which was $0.10 higher than consensus estimates.

Revenue for the quarter was reported at $4.85 billion, slightly above the $4.98 billion anticipated and $33 million more than consensus estimates.

Macy's performance by brand showed mixed results in the first quarter. Comparable sales at Macy's brand stores saw a slight decline of 0.4% year over year, while Bloomingdale's experienced a modest increase of 0.3%, and Blue Mercury saw a more significant rise of 4.3%.

Despite these varied results, the merchandise margin faced a compression of 100 basis points year over year due to increased markdowns on warm weather products.

The company's merchandise inventory saw a year-over-year increase of 1.7%, which, according to Macy's management, is well-positioned for the upcoming summer season.

Furthermore, Macy's revised its full-year sales guidance, raising the lower end slightly, and adjusted its EPS guidance range to $2.55 to $2.90.

However, the adjusted EPS remained at half of what it was a year ago, leading CFRA to consider the raise in guidance as almost insignificant and to view the shares as fairly valued at this time.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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