On Friday, UBS adjusted its outlook on Five9, Inc (NASDAQ:FIVN), a leading provider of cloud contact center software. The firm's analyst revised the price target downward to $81 from the previous $90 while keeping a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Five9's first-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2024, which reported a 3% revenue beat and a year-over-year growth of 13%. The company also reaffirmed its full-year revenue growth guidance of 16%.
The analyst noted that the confirmation of a subscription-based annual recurring revenue (ARR) deal over $50 million with a large U.S. bank, which had been anticipated for several quarters, is likely to boost investor sentiment.
However, there are ongoing discussions regarding the feasibility of Five9's projected revenue growth acceleration to 20% year-over-year in the second half of fiscal 2024. The second-quarter revenue growth guidance of 10% year-over-year, consistent with the first quarter's guidance, might contribute to skepticism about the company's ability to meet its full-year targets.
Despite these concerns, UBS believes that the second-quarter forecast could be conservative, especially considering the company's record seat installations mentioned during the earnings call. This conservative guidance may reduce the growth needed in the latter half of the year to meet the annual expectations. Five9 remains optimistic about its financial outlook, citing visibility into large deal ramps that could significantly impact the second half of the fiscal year.
According to UBS, the math supports the possibility of Five9's growth being back-end weighted, given the company's recent large deal activity. The analyst suggests that Five9's growth rate should be higher based on these deals, which have been accumulating over the past few quarters. The firm's outlook indicates confidence in Five9's strategy and potential for growth in the upcoming periods.
InvestingPro Insights
As Five9, Inc (NASDAQ:FIVN) navigates through its fiscal year with an eye on growth, current InvestingPro data and insights offer a nuanced perspective on the company’s financial health and market position. With a market capitalization of $4.19 billion and a significant 15.29% revenue growth in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, Five9 demonstrates its capacity to expand within the cloud contact center software industry. While the company does not pay dividends, which could be a consideration for income-focused investors, it holds promise with analysts predicting profitability this year, as noted by one of the InvestingPro Tips.
InvestingPro Tips also highlight that Five9 operates with a moderate level of debt and has liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations, suggesting a stable financial footing. However, the company's high Price / Book multiple of 8.66 indicates that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its book value. With the next earnings date approaching on July 24, 2024, investors will be keen to see if the company's performance aligns with the optimistic revenue growth guidance and whether it can leverage its large deal activity to accelerate growth in the latter half of the year.
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