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Energy Sector Momentum Continues To Lead U.S. Stocks Higher

Published 01/12/2017, 07:00 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The rebound in energy shares since the November election has backtracked slightly in 2017, but these stocks still hold the top spot for one-year total return (252 trading days) for US sectors through Jan. 11, based on a set of proxy ETFs.

Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLE) is up nearly 40% over the past year, roughly double the gain for the US stock market overall. A key factor driving XLE’s rally is the rise in crude oil prices. A barrel of West Texas Intermediate, the US benchmark, is up nearly 70% over the past year.

Health care stocks, by contrast, are posting the smallest gain for US sectors over the past year. Health Care Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLV) is ahead by just 5.6% for the trailing 252-trading-day period.

The broad trend for equities, by contrast, is considerably stronger via the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY). The fund is currently higher by nearly 20% over the last 12 months.

US Sectors: ETF Performance

XLE’s upside momentum is clearly in the lead at the moment for trailing one-year results vs. the rest of the field, as the next chart shows.

US Sectors: ETF Performance 2

Note, however, that financial stocks boast the strongest performance among the sector ETFs in terms of price relative to 200-day moving average. Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLF) is currently trading at roughly a 20% premium over its 200-day average—far above the comparable spread for the other sector ETFs. Meanwhile, at the opposite end of the spectrum, Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLP) is trading below its 200-day average—the only sector ETF with negative momentum via this yardstick.

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Current Price V. Moving Average

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