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Bank Tank Part II Could Start Here

Published 12/14/2018, 03:12 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

KBW Bank Index

This chart looks at the Bank Index (BKX) over the past 25 years on a monthly basis, reflecting that the 9-year trend in the index remains up.

The index may have created a double top this year, at the same level where the financial crisis started unfolding back in 2007.

BKX has created a bearish divergence in 2018 when compared to the S&P 500. This divergence has it testing 9-year rising support at (1).

As mentioned earlier, the trend in the banking index remains up and support is support until broken.

If the bank index breaks dual support at (1), it could fall by a large percent from current levels. How banks handle support at (1) will send an important message to the broad market and the banking industry.

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF

Similar to the bank index, the trend for KRE remain up at this time. Softness this year has it testing dual support at (1).

If BKX and KRE both happen to break support, look for more selling pressure to take place, which would impact the broad market.

Important support tests for the banking industry and the broad market look to be in play friends, as bearish sentiment is very high at this time.

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