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SGX Nikkei 225 Futures - Sep 24

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38,205.00 +195.00    +0.51%
01:59:00 - Closed. Currency in JPY ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Index Future
Market:  Singapore
  • Prev. Close: 38,010.00
  • Open: 38,200.00
  • Day's Range: 38,100.00 - 38,725.00
Nikkei 225 38,205.00 +195.00 +0.51%

Nikkei 225 Futures Futures Recent Sentiments

 
Users’ sentiments regarding the Nikkei 225 index futures, which are displayed both on charts of different periods of time and a detailed table.
Start Date Username Call Open Rate End Date Chg. %
Apr 21, 2023 yogesh yoge   27960.00 Apr 24, 2023 @ 27960.00 0.00%

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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 55 minutes ago
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The big red candles and waterfall drops continue on multiple time frames. Is this a good sign? I, for one, doubt it.
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Ondřej Dobečka
Ondřej Dobečka 9 hours ago
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Looks like inverted cup with handle with target 32500-33000
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Sien Hii
Sien 9 hours ago
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daily or hourly or ?? chart you referring to?
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Ondřej Dobečka
Ondřej Dobečka 9 hours ago
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Daily
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Johnson Barameter
Johnson Barameter 3 hours ago
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And monthly I even think it will go back retest 2008-2011 low like exactly Russian index
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Sien Hii
Sien 9 hours ago
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purely TA... will see next ride up if no break below support
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Sien Hii
Sien 9 hours ago
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trader will only see short term movement, no guarantee 100% making profit, but have to make sure profit > loss. Hang Seng have been great for the past 2 weeks, now waiting for retracement.. again, traders only see short term.. investment only buy stocks to hold.
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Sien Hii
Sien 8 hours ago
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break below 38k then cut loss to Switch short
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 8 hours ago
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But the number one rule in markets for success is to NEVER lose money. And how is this for a stat? In the long run 92% of traders fail! That means only 8% are successful. Hence, being a trader is a losing game. And what does that mean? It is worse than playing black jack in Las Vegas, so why do it?
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Sien Hii
Sien 8 hours ago
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there is no Never lose money as long as you're in this market.. even Warren Buffet no 100% win.. but as long as you know when to cut loss and hold for profit, that will make your trading winning chances higher.. by the way, if youre not trading in this market,may I know why you always appear in this forum?
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 7 hours ago
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I'm shorting the rips. It's been very profitable. But I dont use stop losses. And if the trade goes against me, I simply wait. My trades have almost always worked well for me for many years. That said, in some cases I have to wait a long time. In this this case, I do have one position that is underwater, but I am just holding it. I have no reason to believe I am wrong. But that said, I typically hold positions for a long time--often two years or in some cases more than ten or twenty years.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 9 hours ago
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Here is more information for you regarding valuation of the Japanese market overall: The current ratio of total market cap over GDP for Japan is 164.36%. The recent 20 year high was 174.27%; the recent 20 low was 45.59%. If we assume that the ratio will reverse to the recent 20 years mean of 95.42% over the next 8 years, the expected annual return for Japanese stocks is -6.57%.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 9 hours ago
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These numbers show that compares to most other coutries, worldwide, Japan is the single most overvalued market among them ALL.
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Sohai Cat
Sohai Cat 7 hours ago
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Chuck u need tp see psychiatrist. Checked your past posts. U been spilling sh*t since 30k, 31k, 32k, 33k until now. Asking people to short. Ur s*ck man......
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Sohai Cat
Sohai Cat 7 hours ago
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When drop a lot ask people buckle up waterfall coming blablabla. When its up, u say iy shpuld go down, should be back to 22k blablabla. Get a life dude....u remind me of someone name Zencat. She is s*ck too
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 7 hours ago
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You sound frustrated. But Japan is a very very dangerous market to be long on. The fundamentals are very poor for Japan and the valuation numbers are ridiculous. As for the technicals, I believe they are very very bearish. I'm sorry if your trades are not working out for you, but I tell it as I see it. I am honest and frank. Sorry if you want someone to agree with you, but I dont.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 7 hours ago
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As for me getting a life--markets are an obsession for me. I ready lots of books and articles about markets and have been doing so for nearly four decades. I have read at least fifty books a year about economics, investing, finance, banking and anything related for a long long time. My father was a financial guy and taught me a lot from his experience, and I love markets. Sorry if that does not seem normal to you but that is me.
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Sien Hii
Sien 10 hours ago
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selling while US buyers still sleeping
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 10 hours ago
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Here is what I think is going to happen, and I dont think it will be long now. US employment, which is already rolling over is going to continue to slip down. Inflation is going to hang in for a bit. GDP growth will continue to slow. And then as the maturity wall starts to impact companies more and more, profits will start falling surprisingly. Then the US yield curve will uninvert and then soon after markets will start to fall. Then they will start cutting rates, and the yen vs the dollar will strengthen and then Japanese companies will be forecast to see major drops in profits, and then the US and Japanese markets will both fall hard. And then there will be deflation, but Japan's government debt and the BOJ's balance sheet are so massive that they will have very limited firepower left to prop markets and the economy up further. And at that point the Nikkei will easily be approaching or under 20k. I dont know when but have seen this kind of thing happen lots of times now. And will it be different this time? No.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 10 hours ago
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Here are some numbers for you regarding valuations for a handful of companies. Kao, a soap maker, for example has a PER of over 70. It used to be in the range of 20 or so. How is over 70 for soap maker rational? And here are more numbers for a bunch of companies. Shiseido, a cosmetic maker, over 80. Fast Retailing, a clothes maker, 37. Keyence, factory machine maker, 46. Daikin, air con maker, 30. Tokyo Electron, 47. And the list goes on. Sure there are other companies, but this is the trend I see across a lot of Japanese companies. I have been watching Japanese companies closely for decades, and these number are not normal for Japan, which is a very slow grower. I saw the same thing in Japanese stocks in the year 2000. Nutso valuations and it was widespread. And this is worrisome because not only are these multiples very high, but profits are going to fall, which means a lot of Japanese stocks will drop for two reasons, falling profits and falling multiples. And yeah, you can find cheap stocks in Japan, but I know from experience trading them directly, that most of them stay cheap forever. In most cases nobody but nobody buys the cheap ones.
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Net Reg
Net Reg 13 hours ago
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Sell
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Sohai Cat
Sohai Cat 20 hours ago
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Thats why i said Buy the Dip and always make money
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Sohai Cat
Sohai Cat 11 hours ago
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Chick chick...i thinl u are looking at different nikkei...i think u need to see psychiatrist......
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 11 hours ago
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In 1989 GDP was about the same as now. And since then there has been relatively little inflation, almost no profit growth, a decline in population, a massive increase in government debt, and a massive increase in the size of the BOJ's balance sheet. How do these things mean the market deserves very very high valuations?
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 10 hours ago
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One caveat though. Profits have trended upwards, but the forecast is for a very big drop incoming. The forecast puts them at over but in the vicinity of half of the high recent spike in profits due to covid related stimulus and policy. And if the US comes off, and there are rate cuts, the yen with strengthen, and those profits will fall even more--and they will be back in line with GDP--which means this spike in Japanese markets will prove temporary. CAPE and market cap to GDP numbers show Japan's stocks are a bubble.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 10 hours ago
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CAPE and market cap to GDP are the best valuation measure for markets and they are both very high for Japan.
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Jeremy Lim
Jeremy Lim 10 hours ago
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Everyone knows japan stocks is bubble. But since 30k itu keeps going up and up. Me myself have been waiting for it to come down since 32k but it keeps going up and up. This bubble is made of special kind of synthetic rubber 🤔
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay May 09, 2024 8:57AM ET
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Buy, buy, buy when you could instead buy a rising index like the Hang Seng index! Losing money is wonderful, isnt it!?
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 10 hours ago
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I'm not lying to anybody. The math shows Japanese stocks are a bubble. I have seen this kind of things lots of times before. Everything looks wonderful because there is a bubble. But that bubble is going to burst. It is the same in the US. And when the US falls, Japan will fall as well.
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Jeremy Lim
Jeremy Lim 9 hours ago
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U been saying its gonna burst since 31k.....but it is 38k now
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 7 hours ago
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Yeah, because I thought the US was going to be in a recession by now like everyone else. But I am patient. I firmly believe the Nikkei is a bubble index and see NO indication to think otherwise. Profits are falling, the BOJ stopped buying ETFs--which it never should have done in the first place because it was the biggest force in creating a bubble in Japan, I think. Besides, the government debt in Japan is very very high, and history shows that very very high government debt is very negative for a country's growth--hence, it is safe to believe GDP will not grow much long term--and so market cap to GDP numbers give a very accurate indication of the general valuation level in Japan, and it is clearly a bubble.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 7 hours ago
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I dont care if the Nikkei is 38k either. It is a very big bubble now, and if you use a reverse ETF and do not ever take very big positions in anything, then it is an even big opportunity to make good money that it was at 31k. Much better than it was at 31k.
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Chuck Kay
ChuckKay 7 hours ago
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bigger* opportunity to make good money than* it was at 31k.
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