Dollar edges up on higher U.S. yields, rate-hike view

Reuters

Published Apr 18, 2018 03:42PM ET

Dollar edges up on higher U.S. yields, rate-hike view

By Richard Leong

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rose modestly against a basket of currencies on Wednesday, buttressed by higher U.S. bond yields and the view the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates further on signs of ongoing economic growth.

The dollar also has found support from reduced fears about a U.S. trade war with China and that Western air strikes on Syria would intensify.

The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book, released on Wednesday, showed the U.S. economy was growing at a modest to moderate pace in March through early April.

Nevertheless, the greenback remains on a bearish path on expectations that the U.S. trade and federal deficits would balloon in the coming quarters, many analysts said.

"We have been in a remarkable stable range since February," said Paresh Upadhyaya, director of currency strategy at Amundi Pioneer Investments in Boston. "There are opposing factors that have kept the dollar in this narrow range."

The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of six currencies, gained 0.12 percent, to 89.626. It has moved between 88.253 and 90.932 since mid-February.

U.S. two-year Treasury yield (US2YT=RR) hit 2.431 percent on Wednesday, which was its highest since September 2008, Reuters data showed.

The yield spread on U.S. two-year Treasuries and German two-year Bunds grew to 300 basis points, the widest in nearly three decades, increasing the appeal of holding dollars versus the euro.

(GRAPHIC: US/German 2-year yield gap widest since 1989 - https://reut.rs/2JX0Iue)

The euro (EUR=) was up 0.03 percent, at $1.2374, while the greenback was 0.27 percent higher at 107.28 yen.

Among other G10 currencies, the pound was down 0.6 percent at $1.4201 GBP=D3 after it was nudged away from a post-Brexit referendum 22-month high of $1.4377 on Tuesday by weaker-than-expected British wage data.

Annual British consumer price inflation slowed to 2.5 percent in March from 2.7 percent posted in February.

Markets were still pricing in a more than even chance the Bank of England will hike interest rates in May, expectations of which have helped sterling advance aggressively this month. GBP=D3

The Canadian dollar weakened 0.6 percent to C$1.2630 per dollar CAD=D4 after the Bank of Canada, as expected, left key rates unchanged, but the tone in its policy statement was not as hawkish as some traders had expected.