Tokyo core inflation likely double BOJ's 2% target in January: Reuters Poll

Reuters

Published Jan 20, 2023 02:36AM ET

By Kantaro Komiya

TOKYO (Reuters) - A leading indicator of Japanese consumer prices likely rose in January at more than twice the speed of the central bank's target, hitting another four-decade-high, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.

Inflation data in the world's third-largest economy has received unusual attention amid market expectations of a shift in the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) ultra-easy monetary policy.

The core consumer price index (CPI) in Tokyo was seen rising 4.2% in January from a year earlier, according to the median estimate of 19 economists.

That would mark the eighth straight month of price acceleration and the fastest year-on-year increase since the 4.2% rise in April 1982.

"Inflation likely stayed elevated in January since the effect of the stimulus package, which depresses energy prices, will not fully kick-in until February," said Shinichiro Kobayashi, principal economist at Mitsubishi UFJ (NYSE:MUFG) Research and Consulting, referring to fiscal measures to curb household inflation.

Tokyo's core CPI, which is released three to four weeks ahead of the nationwide inflation data, showed a downwardly revised 3.9% rise in December.