IMF leaves global 2023 economic growth outlook unchanged

Reuters

Published Oct 10, 2023 06:32AM ET

Updated Oct 10, 2023 08:07AM ET

(Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday left its global growth outlook unchanged for this year as the "remarkable strength" of the U.S. economy counterbalanced weaker forecasts for China and the euro area. Following is a summary of the estimates by selected countries and regions and the change from prior IMF forecasts.

2023 estimates October vs prior estimates

October July April January vs July vs April vs January

World 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.9 0.0 0.2 0.1

United 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.5 0.7

States

Euro Area 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.7 -0.2 -0.1 0.0

Germany -0.5 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6

France 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.3

Italy 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.6 -0.4 0.0 0.1

Spain 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.1 0.0 1.0 1.4

Japan 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.7 0.2

United 0.5 0.4 -0.3 -0.6 0.1 0.8 1.1

Kingdom

Canada 1.3 1.7 1.5 1.5 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2

Emerging 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.0

Markets

China 5.0 5.2 5.2 5.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2

India 6.3 6.1 5.9 6.1 0.2 0.4 0.2

Russia 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.7 1.5 1.9

Brazil 3.1 2.1 0.9 1.2 1.0 2.2 1.9

Mexico 3.2 2.6 1.8 1.7 0.6 1.4 1.5

Saudi 0.8 1.9 3.1 2.6 -1.1 -2.3 -1.8

Arabia

Nigeria 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3

South 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.2 0.6 0.8 -0.3

Africa

2024 estimates October vs prior estimates

October July April January vs July vs April vs January

World 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2

United 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5

States

Euro Area 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.6 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4

Germany 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.4 -0.4 -0.2 -0.5

France 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.6 0.0 0.0 -0.3

Italy 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2

Spain 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.4 -0.3 -0.3 -0.7

Japan 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.1

United 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.9 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3

Kingdom

Canada 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Emerging 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2

Markets

China 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3

India 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.8 0.0 0.0 -0.5

Russia 1.1 1.3 1.3 2.1 -0.2 -0.2 -1.0

Brazil 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0

Mexico 2.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.5

Saudi 4.0 2.8 3.1 3.4 1.2 0.9 0.6

Arabia

Nigeria 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.2

South 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.5

Africa

Notes: