Gulf central banks raise rates as U.S. Fed lifts to 75 bps

Reuters

Published Jun 15, 2022 05:42PM ET

By Yousef Saba

DUBAI (Reuters) - Most Gulf central banks followed the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday, lifting their key interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, while Saudi Arabia made a smaller hike after the latest data showed inflation there slowing slightly.

The U.S. central bank projected a slowing economy and rising unemployment in the United States in the months to come after raising its interest rate by its biggest hike since 1994.

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have their currencies pegged to the U.S. dollar, except Kuwait.

The Saudi Central Bank lifted its repo and reverse repo rates by 50 basis points (bps) to 2.25% and 1.75%, respectively. Saudi inflation edged down to 2.2% in May from 2.3% in April.

The Central Bank of Kuwait raised its discount rate by 25 bps to 2.25%. Its peg to a basket, the composition of which is undisclosed, gives it more room to diverge from Fed policy if domestic economic conditions call for that.

Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, said, "on the whole, households in the region are seeing less pressures with weaker inflation than the global trend, albeit still rising. The economic outlook should still be supported by the investment programmes, which we see continuing."

The central banks of the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Bahrain all hiked their key rates by 75 basis points in lockstep with the Fed.

Oman, the remaining member of the six-country GCC, is widely expected to follow with a similar hike.

The hikes "will create a headwind for recoveries in non-oil sectors by disincentivising borrowing and making it more attractive to save," said James Swanston of Capital Economics.

"However, we have tended to find that in periods when oil prices are high that it tends to be a stronger driver of credit growth than interest rates. This is usually a result of governments opting to loosen fiscal policy and, as a result, greater domestic economic confidence, which helps to drive demand for borrowing."