Impact on yuan from expected U.S. rate hike will be limited: central bank economist
Reuters
Published Oct 25, 2016 05:49AM ET
Impact on yuan from expected U.S. rate hike will be limited: central bank economist
BEIJING (Reuters) - A potential U.S. interest rate hike in December will have limited impact on the yuan, the People's Bank of China chief economist Ma Jun told reporters on Tuesday.
Speaking to a small group of foreign reporters at a luncheon, Ma said the yuan was under depreciation pressure ahead of the expected rate hike, but may recover when the Federal Reserve actually raises rates. Ma said he does not expect the Fed to be very aggressive on raising rates.
The impact on the yuan from a December rate hike will be limited because it has been anticipated and priced in by the market, he said.
"Emerging market currencies, including the yuan, have come under some pressure to depreciate before the Fed rate rise. Maybe they will rise after the rate hike," he said.
The yuan's fall of more than 1.5 percent against the dollar since the end of September has renewed speculation in some quarters of a continued slide in the Chinese currency.
The yuan
The yuan's drop against the dollar shows the central bank is "very faithful" to its new currency regime, Ma said. Under the regime, the PBOC sets the yuan's daily mid-point versus the dollar based on the previous day's closing price, taking into account changes in major currencies.
Ma declined to comment on a specific level in the yuan exchange rate that the PBOC might tolerate.
Policy sources have said earlier that the central bank would tolerate the yuan's fall to as low as 6.8 per dollar this year.
Ma also commented on China's efforts to rein in a red-hot property market after home prices rose at the fastest on record in September.
Recent city-based property control measures in China will cool prices and demand for mortgages, Ma said, adding that the PBOC will consider the possible impact of monetary policy on the property sector.
"Changes in property prices will affect financial stability and financial stability is one of the central bank's important goals," he said.
Bank lending in recent months has been dominated by household lending, primarily mortgages. China's outstanding mortgage loans to individuals rose 33.4 percent to 17.93 trillion yuan ($2.65 trillion) from a year ago by the end of September, central bank data showed on Friday.
The banking regulator said on Saturday it had asked lenders to step up risk management of property loans amid record gains in house prices that have raised concerns of price bubbles and ballooning debts.
Get The News You Want
Ma also said that China's economy should grow about 6.7 percent in 2016 and average producer prices will likely show positive growth in 2017.
Written By: Reuters
Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.