Bank of Japan board was uncertain of reaching price goal in July: minutes

By Leika Kihara

TOKYO (Reuters) - Bank of Japan policymakers fretted over weak inflation expectations and uncertain prospects for achieving its price goal even before announcing its plan to conduct in September a comprehensive review of its policies, minutes of the central bank's policy meeting in July showed on Tuesday.

Many board members said inflation expectations were weakening and some warned they might not strengthen much any time soon, the minutes showed, a sign the policymakers were leaning toward modifying the BOJ's policy framework as three years of massive money printing failed to boost price growth.

"Members shared the recognition that risks to Japan's economic activity and prices remained skewed to the downside," according to the minutes of the July 28-29 meeting.

At the meeting, the BOJ expanded stimulus by doubling purchases of exchange-traded funds (ETF) and announced a plan to conduct a comprehensive assessment of its policies at a subsequent meeting in September.

At its rate review last week, the BOJ switched its policy target to interest rates from the pace of money printing, after years of massive asset purchases failed to jolt the economy out of decades-long stagnation.

At the July meeting, some board members said Japan's inflation expectations were vulnerable to external shocks such as oil price declines and slowdown in overseas economies.

Given such uncertainties over the price outlook, the board decided to conduct the comprehensive review in September.

"A few members said the final goal of this comprehensive assessment was to assess what should be done to achieve the price stability target of 2 percent at the earliest possible time, and did not suggest the BOJ would be reviewing the price stability target itself," the minutes showed.

Many members said the decision to expand ETF purchases was the best way to prevent market turmoil triggered by Britain's vote to exit the European Union from hurting Japanese business and household confidence, the minutes showed.

But one member who opposed the decision said this would be viewed by markets as indicating that monetary easing was approaching its limit.

"There was a risk this action could trigger endless expectations for further monetary easing," the member was quoted as saying.

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