Indonesia Feb trade surplus at $5.48 billion, beats forecast

Reuters

Published Mar 15, 2023 12:37AM ET

Updated Mar 15, 2023 02:00AM ET

JAKARTA (Reuters) - Indonesia reported a larger than forecast trade balance in February at $5.48 billion, boosted by an unexpected drop in imports, data from the country's statistics bureau showed on Wednesday.

Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a $3.27 billion trade surplus. February's trade surplus also marked an increase from January's $3.87 billion and was the biggest since October.

Exports in February rose 4.51% annually to $21.40 billion, slightly lower than a 5.00% growth expected by analysts and after a 16.37% increase in January.

Imports fell by 4.32% annually to $15.92 billion due to a drop in purchases of raw materials and machinery, Statistics Indonesia said. A Reuters poll had forecast a 9.74% increase in shipments.

Wisnu Wardana, an economist at Bank Danamon, said that while imports of machinery components fell in February, they had already been at a high level in recent months.

"Such volatility is common, considering historical seasonality," he said. "Going forward, we still foresee that the trade surplus will narrow despite today's result and amid manufacturing led imports, especially during festive seasons."