BofA lifts 2024 S&P 500 profit forecast as AI enters 'virtuous cycle'

Reuters

Published Mar 12, 2024 05:28AM ET

(Reuters) - BofA Global Research raised its earnings forecast for the S&P 500 on Tuesday, projecting a 12% increase in profit for the companies in the benchmark index this year.

The brokerage raised its 2024 earnings per share (EPS) forecast for the index companies to $250 from the previously expected $235.

BofA strategists said that "2023 was a transition year for Corporate America, and companies have now adjusted to the new higher rate and tepid demand environment."

The brokerage expects technology giants such as Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), and META (NASDAQ:META) to spend $180 billion on capital expenditure this year, potentially benefiting from a "virtuous cycle" stemming from investments in artificial intelligence (AI).

"Semis and networking are the most obvious beneficiaries, but increased power usage and the physical build-out of data centers will lead to more demand for electrification, utilities, commodities, etc," strategists led by Ohsung Kwon and Savita Subramanian wrote in a note.

As big tech enters an investment cycle and traditional companies cut costs, the growth differential should merge between tech companies and the rest, the brokerage added.