Softs - sugar gains on Brazil, India crop woes; coffee edges lower

Investing.com

Published Jul 09, 2012 07:49AM ET

Investing.com - U.S. soft futures were mostly higher during early U.S. morning trade on Monday, with sugar prices firming on the back of concerns over crop conditions in top growers Brazil and India.

Meanwhile, coffee prices edged lower in thin rangebound trade, while cotton prices were higher as investors awaited the release of the USDA’s weekly crop progress report due later in the day.

On the ICE Futures U.S. Exchange, sugar futures for October delivery traded at USD0.2246 a pound, climbing 1%. It earlier rose by as much as 1.5% to trade at a session high of USD0.2250 a pound.

Prices hit a six-week high of USD22.68 a pound on July 5, as concerns that heavy rains in Brazil could damage sugarcane crops in the country’s center-south region boosted sentiment on the sweetener in recent weeks.

Brazil’s top sugar industry group Unica said last week that sugar production in the center-south region in the first half of June came in at 1.37 million tonnes, 32% below the same period last year, as rains “severely hampered" the cane harvest.

Sugar production since the start of the harvest totaled 4.9 million tons, down 28.1% on the year, Unica said.

Brazil’s Center South-region produces nearly 90% of the nation’s sugar. Brazil is the world’s largest sugar producer and exporter, with the USDA estimating the nation accounts for nearly 20% of global production and 39% of global sugar exports.

Sugar traders were also monitoring crop conditions in India, where a poor monsoon season has weighed on the quality of the crop.

Market participants noted that the sugar market remains in a major bear trend. Prices are down approximately 37% since hitting a three-decade high of USD0.3594 in February of last year.

Meanwhile, Arabica coffee for September delivery traded at USD1.7565 a pound, easing down 0.25%. The September contract traded in between a tight range of USD176.65, the daily high and a session low of USD1.7520.

Prices hit a two-month high of USD187.00 on July 5, as concerns over the impact of rains in Brazil on the crop boosted sentiment on the commodity.

Brazil is the world’s largest producer and exporter of Arabica coffee. Arabica is grown mainly in Latin America and brewed by specialty companies.

Despite recent gains, coffee prices have been under pressure in recent months, losing nearly 26% since mid-January as traders eyed a huge harvest in top grower Brazil and speculators pushed prices lower.  

Coffee fell to as low as USD1.4887 a pound on June 14, the lowest for the second-month contract since mid-June 2010.

Elsewhere, cotton futures for October delivery traded at USD0.7101 a pound, adding 0.65%. It earlier rose by as much as 1.4% to trade at a session high of USD0.7156 a pound.

Market players were looking forward to the release of the USDA’s weekly crop progress report due out after Monday’s closing bell.

In last week’s report the USDA said that nearly 47% of the crop was rated in ‘good’ to ‘excellent’ condition, down from 50% a week earlier.

In the major producing state of Texas, only 35% of the cotton crop was seen as in ‘good’ or ‘excellent’ health, compared to 36% the previous week.

Fears over the global economy have weighed on cotton prices in recent weeks.

Demand for cotton, as a non-food agricultural commodity, is seen as more closely linked to economic conditions and consumer sentiment than that for other farm crops.

The fiber is down almost 65% from a record in March 2011 as higher prices prompted farmers to plant more crops and demand in top consumer China slowed.

Front-month prices slumped to a 32-month low of USD0.6617 a pound on June 4.

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