JMP maintains Global Net Lease stock with $9 target

Investing.com

Published May 12, 2025 05:31AM ET

JMP maintains Global Net Lease stock with $9 target

On Monday, JMP analysts maintained their Market Outperform rating on Global Net Lease (NYSE:GNL) shares, with a steady price target of $9.00. The analysts noted the company's effective de-leveraging strategy, which began in early 2024, has significantly strengthened its balance sheet and improved key operating metrics, making the company easier to evaluate. According to InvestingPro data, the company's current ratio stands at 1.28, indicating sufficient liquidity to meet short-term obligations.

Global Net Lease has successfully completed or is in the process of completing over $2.9 billion in asset sales, contributing to a substantial reduction in leverage. The company's debt to EBITDA ratio has decreased from its peak to the current 6.7x. Despite experiencing some setbacks, including two dividend cuts that resulted in a 46% dividend reduction, JMP analysts point out that Global Net Lease now finds itself in a more advantageous financial position with more reliable portfolio cash flows, thanks to triple-net leases averaging over six years in term. The company maintains a significant dividend yield of 9.4%, as reported by InvestingPro .

The analysts emphasized that despite the company's progress, its valuation remains highly discounted at approximately 8 times its estimated 2025 Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share. This figure is below the net-lease real estate investment trust (REIT) sector's average of mid-13 times. JMP analysts believe there is room for further multiple expansion as Global Net Lease continues with its de-leveraging strategy. InvestingPro 's Fair Value analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with additional metrics and insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which covers over 1,400 US stocks.

Global Net Lease's efforts in reducing debt and improving portfolio quality appear to be factors contributing to the analyst's positive outlook on the stock. The company's current trading value and the potential for expansion of its multiple suggest a favorable view of its financial health and future prospects. Recent performance has been strong, with the stock delivering an 18.4% return year-to-date and maintaining an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.6x, supporting the value proposition highlighted by analysts.

In other recent news, Global Net Lease Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing a significant earnings miss. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.87, which was well below the expected -$0.085, and reported revenue of $132.4 million, falling short of the $190.1 million forecast. Despite these financial setbacks, Global Net Lease completed a major property sale, generating $1.1 billion in gross proceeds. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 AFFO guidance, projecting earnings of $0.90 to $0.96 per share. Analyst firms like Fitch and S&P have placed Global Net Lease on credit watch positive, reflecting their recognition of the company's efforts to reduce leverage and improve credit quality. Additionally, the company has been actively reducing its exposure to the gas and convenience store sector, which may present short-term revenue challenges. Global Net Lease also announced a $300 million share repurchase program, with 7.9 million shares already repurchased at a weighted average price of $7.50 per share. These developments indicate the company's strategic focus on financial stability and long-term value creation.

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