World Markets Higher On Balance

 | Dec 19, 2012 02:45PM ET

“FORECAST”

STOCKS:

The European debt contagion has been “kicked down the road” as Spanish and Italian short-and-long term bond yields have moderated recently given the ECB “plan” to buy bonds of up to 3-years in maturity...but only if asked; and only if conditionality is imposed upon those asking. The Fed has also changed its game from “inflation-fighting” to “unemployment fighting” with the new move to QE-4; and with any war — they will go further and farther than anyone believes in printing money to achieve their ends.

STRATEGY: The S&P 500 remains above the 160-wma long-term support level at 1257. The much followed 200-dma support level stands at 1388, and was regained in weekly key bullish reversal fashoin. Collectively, this stands bullish for a test and likely brekaout above the recent September highs at 1475. We are long of gold...and waiting, energy and transports at this juncture.