Will Q3 Earnings Hold A Surprise For Davita (DVA) Stock?

 | Oct 30, 2016 11:03PM ET

DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. (NYSE:DVA) is set to report third-quarter 2016 results after the market closes on Nov 2. Last quarter, the company posted a positive earnings surprise of 3.06%. Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.
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Factors to be Considered this Quarter

Davita’s Kidney Care is expected to have performed well in the third quarter due to its continuous investments in capital-efficient technologies. Launch of seven new de novo clinics, which is a clear instance of this, is likely to have significantly boosted the top line of this segment.

Growth in Kidney Care is also likely have been supported by two new legislations, namely Dialysis PATIENT Demonstration Act and ESRD Choice Act. Both these acts are expected to have bolstered Davita’s long-term strategy of integrated care.

The joint venture with Khazanah and Mitsui Khazanah might have further driven growth of Davita’s Kidney Care business. However, the company plans to deconsolidate these two in the future in order to record a material non-cash one-time gain.

The expansion of Affordable Care Act (ACA) is expected to have boosted Davita’s revenues through increased market share.

Continuously weighing capital deployment opportunities across growth investment, share repurchases, debt repayment and holding cash likely have driven the company’s operating margin by limiting the share count.

Operating cash flow is expected to have remained strong in the quarter due to improved performance of the Kidney Care business and the capitated care business.

However, management believes that Davita’s the inability to meet the target of fee-for-service revenue growth and the costs expected to be incurred due to the rebranding from HealthCare Partners to the DaVita Medical Group might result in its underperformance in the quarter.

Also, an overestimation of expected reconciliation payments for Medicare Advantage revenues is might result in the company missing estimates in the to-be-reported quarter.

In addition, interest expenses are expected to remain elevated owing to higher level of debt-tapering margins.

The company’s share price has been fluctuating over the last few days. We wait to see how the stock reacts to the quarterly results.

DAVITA INC Price and EPS Surprise

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