Will Juniper Surprise Earnings Estimates?

 | Apr 21, 2015 01:31PM ET

Juniper Networks Inc. (NYSE:JNPR) is set to report first-quarter 2015 results on Apr 23. Last quarter, it posted a positive earnings surprise of 45%. Let us see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors to Consider

Juniper is capitalizing on the growing demand for data center virtualization, cloud computing and mobile traffic packet/optical convergence. Moreover, the company’s product launches, cost reduction initiatives and improving execution should aid results in the to-be-reported quarter. Juniper’s expansion into the software defined network (SDN) segment is expected to strengthen its position in the networking space.

The increasing complexity in cloud infrastructure has increased the demand for SDN solutions which make the infrastructure more flexible and thereby lower costs. It is expected that the lower-cost proposition will lead to quicker adoption of the SDN technology and thereby boost growth for Juniper.

However, charges related to the company’s restructuring initiatives are expected to impact profitability in the first quarter. Competition from Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) and F5 Networks (NASDAQ:FFIV) also remains a concern. Delays in large projects remain an overhang on the stock.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Juniper is likely to beat earnings this quarter. A stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1, 2 or 3 to surpass earnings estimates. However, that is not the case here due to the following factors:

Zacks ESP: Juniper has an Earnings ESP is 0.00% since both the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate stand at 22 cents per share.

Zacks Rank: Juniper’s Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) when combined with a 0.00% ESP makes surprise predictions difficult.

We caution against stocks with Zacks Ranks #4 and 5 (Sell-rated stocks) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions momentum.

Stocks to Consider

Here are some companies which you may consider, as our model shows they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter:

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), with an Earnings ESP of +2.79% and a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), with an Earnings ESP of +175.00% and a Zacks Rank #3.

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