Masoud Movafaghi | Jul 11, 2025 11:06AM ET
In a market dominated by enthusiasm around AI and tech giants, Alphabet Inc Class A (NASDAQ:GOOGL) appears strangely underappreciated. Despite strong fundamentals and dominant market positions, the stock has trailed behind some of its peers like Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) over the past year.
Among the so-called Magnificent Seven tech giants, Alphabet stands out as the most undervalued by a wide margin. It currently trades at a trailing P/E of approximately 16.9, far below Microsoft (~29×), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) (~34×), Amazon (~36×), Meta (NASDAQ:META) (~22×), and significantly cheaper than Nvidia (~52×) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) (~163×). But the discount doesn't end there. On a Price-to-Book (P/B) basis, Alphabet trades at roughly 6×, while peers like Microsoft (~11.6×), Apple (~7.9×), and Nvidia (~47×) command far higher multiples. This dual undervaluation—on both earnings and asset basis—makes Alphabet a clear outlier.
Alphabet reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, with key metrics delivering upside surprises across the board:
Advertising (about 75% of total revenue) grew 8.5% to ~$66.9 billion, slightly outperforming expectations (~7.7%)—boosted by AI-powered products like AI Overviews, now serving 1.5 billion users monthly.
Google Cloud continued its strong momentum with 28% growth, reaching around $12.3 billion in revenue. Enterprise adoption of AI tools remains the primary tailwind.
Share buyback program was significantly expanded: Alphabet unveiled a $70 billion repurchase initiative, reinforcing its long-term shareholder value framework.
The company reaffirmed its robust commitment to innovation, targeting $75 billion in capital expenditure through 2025, largely dedicated to AI infrastructure and R&D.
The company simultaneously announced a $70 billion share buyback and reaffirmed $75 billion in capital spending, signaling both financial strength and long-term ambition.
But does this relative underperformance reflect a weakening business—or a rare investment opportunity?
Alphabet currently trades at a forward P/E ratio significantly below that of Microsoft and far below Nvidia. While Nvidia is priced for extreme AI-driven growth, Alphabet's valuation suggests the market is pricing in stagnation or even decline. That view ignores a few key facts:
In short, you’re getting a world-class company at a reasonable price—something rare in today’s tech sector.
Much of the skepticism around Alphabet centers on fears that AI tools like ChatGPT or Perplexity will erode Google’s dominance in search. But let’s look at the facts:
Moreover, Alphabet is actively adapting through Search Generative Experience (SGE), integrating AI into its core products with vast computing infrastructure and proprietary data advantages that very few companies can match.
While Search and Ads are the core of Alphabet, the company has multiple underappreciated growth drivers:
Alphabet’s investment in quantum computing, health tech (Verily), and AI infrastructure offers potential that’s barely reflected in its current stock price.
In an era where hype often drives valuation, Alphabet is being priced for caution, not innovation. But this misses the point. Alphabet has:
The market may be infatuated with the shiny new tools, but it’s often the proven players who adapt—and win.
While antitrust scrutiny is real, current results show resilience. Unless structural changes are mandated imminently, Alphabet’s earnings engine is intact and flexing strong performance.
Alphabet may not be the loudest AI story today, but it’s arguably one of the most foundational players. Its ecosystem is deeply embedded in daily digital life. The fears about its decline in Search are speculative, while the upside potential from Cloud, YouTube, and AI integration is very real—and largely unpriced.
For long-term investors, this could be a textbook case of buying quality during market distraction. Several leading analysts continue to forecast meaningful upside for Alphabet in the next 12 months. Oppenheimer recently raised its target to $220, citing rapid adoption of Google’s AI Mode in search (implying ~25% upside from current levels). Other firms such as JMP Securities and D.A. Davidson also point toward a $200+ valuation, while consensus analyst estimates from MarketBeat and StockAnalysis sit in the $200–$207 range—translating to 13–17% upside.
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