What's In The Cards For Transocean (RIG) In Q4 Earnings?

 | Feb 11, 2020 10:33PM ET

Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:RIG) is set to release fourth-quarter 2019 earnings results on Monday Feb 17, after the market closes.

The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at a loss of 31 cents per share on expected revenues of $821.29 million. There has been no change in estimates for the bottom line over the past 30 days.

Let’s delve into the factors that might have impacted the company’s performance in the December quarter.

Factors at Play for Q4 Results

With the U.S. offshore industry witnessing early signs of revival, evidenced by the increasing project sanctions, Transocean is expected to have capitalized on this uptrend effectively, given its technologically advanced and versatile drilling fleet.

The company anticipates fourth-quarter adjusted contract drilling revenues to be roughly $825 million, indicating a 10.3% rise from the year-ago reported figure of $748 million. Strong revenues from Deepwater Corcovado and Deepwater Mykonos drill ships are likely to have contributed to this bullish view.

However, over the last few quarters, the company has been bogged down by operational inefficiencies, which might have hurt its margins in the quarter to be reported. Further, the company forecasts its operation and maintenance expenses to be $585 million in the fourth quarter, suggesting an increase of 18% from $497 million reported in the year-ago period. It also expects its capital outlay to escalate for the fourth quarter, which is likely to have limited its earnings growth.

What Does Our Model Say?

The proven Zacks model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Transocean this time around. The right combination of a positive Zacks Investment Research

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