Wells Fargo To Report Higher Earnings, Lower Revenue
Estimize | Apr 11, 2014 03:10AM ET
Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC) is set to report FQ1 2014 earnings before the market opens on Friday, April 11th.Wells Fargo is one of the largest banks in the United States. In pre-earnings coverage for JPMorgan Chase we mentioned how a JPMorgan’s earnings expectations have been taken down throughout the quarter as the economy was sluggish. Wells Fargo is actually expected to increase its earnings despite investor nerves over the Fed’s taper and slower than predicted growth out of China and other emerging markets. This quarter Wall Street is projecting Wells Fargo to increase earnings by 5.4% compared to FQ1 last year, although revenue is expected to be lower. Here’s what investors expect from Wells Fargo Friday morning.
The current Wall Street consensus expectation is for Wells Fargo to report 97c EPS and $20.502B revenue while the current Estimize.com consensus from 34 Buy Side and Independent contributing analysts is 98c EPS and $20.754B in revenue. This quarter the buy-side as represented by the Estimize.com community is expecting Wells Fargo to beat the Wall Street consensus by 1c per share in earnings and $252 million in revenue.
Over the past 6 quarters the consensus from Estimize.com has been more accurate than Wall Street in forecasting WFC’s EPS and revenue 5 and 3 times respectively. By tapping into a wider range of contributors including hedge-fund analysts, asset managers, independent research shops, students, and non professional investors Estimize has created a data set that is more accurate than Wall Street up to 69.5% of the time, but more importantly it does a better job of representing the market’s actual expectations. It has been confirmed by Deutsche Bank Quant. Research and an independent academic study from Rice University that stock prices tend to react with a more strongly associated degree to the expectation benchmark from Estimize than from the Wall Street consensus.
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The distribution of estimates published by analysts on the Estimize.com platform range from 90c to $1.01 EPS and from $20.495B to $22.000B in revenues. This quarter we’re seeing a wide distribution of estimates on Wells Fargo.
The analyst with the highest estimate confidence rating this quarter is sana5000 who projects $1.01 EPS and $20.564B in revenue. sana5000 is ranked 59th overall among over 4,000 contributing analysts. Over the past 2 years sana5000 has been more accurate than Wall Street in forecasting EPS and revenue 58% and 44% of the time respectively throughout 161 estimates. Estimate confidence ratings are calculated through algorithms developed by deep quantitative research which looks at correlations between analyst track records and tendencies as they relate to future accuracy. In this case sana5000 is expecting Wells Fargo to beat the Estimize consensus on EPS but come up short of the community’s expectations on revenue.
While investors have been cautious and risk appetite has been low, generally unfavorable conditions for a bank, Wells Fargo is still expected to post 5.4% earnings growth compared to FQ1 last year. Contributing analysts on the Estimize.com platform are expecting Wells Fargo to inch past Wall Street expectations on profit and beat the Street’s sales projections by a considerable margin.
Get access to estimates for Wells Fargo published by your Buy Side and Independent analyst peers and follow the rest of earnings season by heading over to Estimize.com. Register for free to create your own estimates and see how you stack up to Wall Street.
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