Weekly Commodity Futures Forecasts: Nov 28, 2016 – Dec 02, 2016

 | Nov 27, 2016 08:17PM ET


The article aims to provide price forecasts for commodity futures for December 02, 2016. The tables below show the weekly commodity futures prices in US dollars over the period from October 28, 2016 to November 25, 2016 (commodity exchanges data) and forecasted period – December 02, 2016 (author’s calculations). The commodities are classified and placed in alphabetical order. The commodity units and exchange abbreviations are provided. Forecasted values: increase in green; decrease in red. Forecasts are projected with an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model based on relevant weekly historical data.

It is advised to use forecasted values for identifying the short-term price trends over the period firstly. The notable positive price changes are expected for copper (4.62%), palladium (4.03%) and soybeans (3.11%). Live cattle (-4.06%), Brent crude oil (-3.86%) and crude oil WTI (-3.78%) will likely drop in price by the end of the week. On the group level, the groups of metals, grains and softs commodities are expected to rise over the period.