Week Ahead: Nonfarm Payrolls Report Could Keep The Dollar Rally Going

 | Nov 26, 2021 04:25PM ET

It will be hard for the US dollar to escape the spotlight in the coming week as the November jobs report will likely further fuel expectations of faster Fed tapering, extending the rally. The last month of the year is expected to get off to a busy start with a slew of data on the way. Aside from the US highlights, Canada will also be reporting jobs numbers in addition to its Q3 GDP print, Australia will publish growth figures too, while the Eurozone’s flash inflation readings might give the euro a much-needed reprieve.

Australian economy likely shrunk in Q3

The weight of the recent lockdowns will be on full display in Australia’s GDP estimate for the quarter ending in October on Wednesday. The data will be preceded by quarterly business inventories and net exports contribution on Monday and Tuesday, respectively. Strong demand for Australia’s resources exports is expected to have lessened the overall hit to the economy from the Covid shutdowns, which are anticipated to have substantially dented consumption and the construction sector.

Hence, the euro’s best bet for a near-term rebound is if there is a pullback in the dollar.

Aside from the flash inflation numbers, the economic sentiment indicator for November on Monday, the final PMI readings on Thursday and retail sales on Friday might also attract some attention for the euro.

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