Week Ahead: Energy Politics And A Barrage Of Data Releases

 | Jun 24, 2022 09:52AM ET

There are no central bank meetings next week but there is an avalanche of economic data from America, Europe, and Japan to keep traders entertained. Politics will also be in the spotlight with a G7 meeting over the weekend. Global leaders are expected to outline steps to stabilize energy markets, which could have tremendous implications for central banks.

Politicians scramble

The spike in energy prices and their impact on consumers has turned into the most important political issue across the world, sending global leaders scrambling to come up with solutions or suffer the wrath of angry voters. With midterm elections coming up in the United States, the White House is in the eye of the storm.

It’s not only politicians feeling the burn. Energy prices are one of the main drivers of inflation expectations in markets, which in turn drive central bank decisions. The Fed won’t need to be as aggressive with rate increases if oil prices finally cool down.

With this in mind, the meeting of G7 leaders in Germany this weekend could be crucial. Stabilizing energy prices is high on the agenda, amid whispers that even drastic measures like price controls are under consideration. These summits rarely produce any real action, but then again, markets only need to sense something is on the horizon to move.
In terms of data releases, the coming week will feature durable goods orders on Monday, ahead of the core PCE price index on Thursday and the latest ISM manufacturing PMI on Friday.

In neighboring Canada, GDP numbers for April are out on Thursday but are likely to be seen as outdated by traders.

Finally in China, investors will get the first glimpse into how the economy performed in June when the official PMIs are released on Thursday.

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