USD/SEK Falling

 | Oct 03, 2013 10:48AM ET

A light economic calendar during the European trading hours kept most of the major currencies in a tight range as the partial US government shutdown has entered its third day with no signs of a deal to end the deadlock. The dollar was little changed, gaining slightly against the yen. The only noticeable economic indicators during the morning calendar were the UK PMI services and the Eurozone retail sales. UK PMI services came below estimations for September (60.3 vs 60.5 est.). Nonetheless, GBP/USD moved upwards at the release covering its morning loses. Soon afterwards, Eurozone retail sales came out much better than expected for August (+0.7% mom vs +0.2% mom est.), but the news had little impact on EUR/USD. The dollar recorded its biggest loses against the Swedish krona despite the fall in the Swedish services PMI to 53.3 from 53.7.

USD/SEK began falling in the Asian day and continued to decline for the whole European morning. In the early afternoon it’s testing the support of 6.3478 (S1). A decisive break below that hurdle will have larger bearish implication and would target the 6.3149 (S2) barrier next. The MACD oscillator is negative, below its trigger, favoring further downside movement; however, future consolidation cannot be ruled out, as the RSI is approaching oversold territory. A triple bearish cross of the moving averages remains on hold, enhancing the downtrend of the rate.

  • Support levels are identified at 6.3478 (S1), followed by 6.3149 (S2) and 6.2786 (S3). The latter one is found from the daily chart.
  • Resistance is at 6.3806 (R1), followed by 6.3992 (R2) and 6.4357 (R3).