USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Yen Hits Lowest Since 2002

 | May 29, 2015 05:41AM ET

Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 123.04, 122.13, 121.41
  • Resistance: 124.49, 125.95, 126.85

The Japanese Yen , testing levels unseen since 2002. A daily close above the 100% Fibonacci expansion at 124.49 exposes the 123.6% level at 125.95. Alternatively, a reversal below the 76.4% Fibat 123.04 opens the door for a challenge of the 61.8% expansion at 122.13.

While entering long seems compelling from a purely technical perspective, we will tactically opt to stand aside. The upcoming release of revised first-quarter US GDP figures represents significant event risk that may derail technical positioning.We will wait for the coast to clear before committing to a directional bias.