USD/JPY: Still Stuck At Channel Support

 | Feb 27, 2015 02:51AM ET

h2 Talking Points:
  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 118.82, 117.17, 115.48
  • Resistance: 120.82, 121.91, 123.88

The US Dollar remains locked in a narrow range between channel support and the 120.00 figure against the Japanese Yen. A daily close above the December 23 highat 120.82 exposes the 121.84-91 area (December 8 high, 38.2% Fibonacci expansion). Alternatively, a turn below rising channel floor support at 118.82 opens the door for a test ofthe January 21 low at 117.17.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for a more actionable opportunity to present itself.