USD/JPY: Range Support Pressured Anew

 | Jun 30, 2015 01:36AM ET

Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support:122.36, 121.54, 120.52
  • Resistance:123.18, 124.20, 124.83

The US dollar declined against the Japanese yen as expected, sinking back to range support above the 122.00 figure. Near-term support is at 122.36, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% level at 121.54. Alternatively, a turn above the 38.2% Fib at 123.18 clears the way for a challenge of the 23.6% retracement at 124.20.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to present itself.