USD/JPY Probes Above 124.00

 | Jul 30, 2015 08:20AM ET

Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 123.59, 123.00, 122.20
  • Resistance: 123.96, 124.55, 125.03

The US dollar extended its recovery against the Japanese yen for a second consecutive day, with buyers probing above the 124.00 figure. Near-term resistance is at 123.96, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% level at 124.55. Alternatively, a move below the 14.6% Fib at 123.59 clears the way for a challenge of the July 27 low at 123.00.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices in close proximity to resistance. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bearish reversal signal suggests taking up the short side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to present itself.