USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Probing Above 122.00 Anew

 | Jul 10, 2015 02:39AM ET

Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 120.70, 119.48, 117.98
  • Resistance: 121.91, 123.01, 124.08

The Japanese Yen having dropped to a two-month low. Near-term resistance is at 121.91, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing falling trend line resistance at 123.01. Alternatively, a turn below the 50% level at 120.70 clears the way for a challenge of the 61.8% Fib at 119.48.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices in close proximity to resistance. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bearish reversal signal suggests taking up the short side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to present itself.