USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Passing On Long Trade Setup
Dailyfx | Jan 22, 2015 02:24AM ET
Talking Points:
- USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 117.91, 115.48, 113.51
- Resistance: 120.82, 121.91, 123.88
The US dollar advanced against the Japanese yen as expected after putting in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. A daily close above the December 23 high at 120.82 exposes the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 121.91. Alternatively, a turn below the 23.6% Fib retracement at 117.91 clears the way for a challenge of the 38.2% threshold at 115.48.
While entering long seems compelling from a purely technical perspective, we will tactically opt to stand aside. The possibility of a surprise outcome on the upcoming ECB monetary policy announcement represents significant risk aversion risk ahead. Haven flows are likely to boost the yen in such a scenario, overturning bullish chart positioning. With that in mind, we will remain flat.
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