USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bearish Reversal In The Works?

 | Nov 24, 2014 02:56AM ET

Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 117.48, 116.96, 115.71
  • Resistance: 119.05, 120.27, 121.79

The US Dollar pulled back against the Japanese Yen as expected after prices produced a Shooting Star candlestick. Near-term rising channel floor support is at 117.48, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 14.6% level at 116.96. Alternatively, a reversal above the 50% Fib expansion at 119.05 opens the door for at test of the 61.8% threshold at 120.27.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for a more actionable opportunity to present itself.