USD/CHF Technical Analysis: Franc Drops Most In 3 Months

 | Apr 23, 2015 03:57AM ET

Talking Points:

  • USD/CHF Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support:0.9632, 0.9574, 0.9462
  • Resistance: 0.9726, 0.9803, 0.9879

The expected following the appearance of a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 0.9726, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 0.9803. Alternatively a move below the 23.6% Fib at 0.9632 clears the way for a test of the 14.6% retracement at 0.9574.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices in close proximity to resistance. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bearish reversal signal suggests taking up the short side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to present itself.