USD/CAD: Down-Trend Expected To Continue Lower

 | May 05, 2015 07:22AM ET


The USD/CAD pair is in a short-term down-trend after breaking below the neckline of a head-and-shoulders pattern.


It has pulled-back temporarily but it will probably break lower extending the trend down.


A break below the current lows at 1.1943 would signal such a move down.


An initial target for the move can be calculated using the leg down before the small correction, and extrapolating that down 100% - assuming the move forms a measured move. I have marked this on the daily chart below; extrapolated lower gives a final target for the next leg at 1.1835.