USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Opting To Remain In Long Trade

 | Jul 10, 2015 02:48AM ET

Talking Points:

  • Long at 1.2649
  • Support: 1.2618, 1.2524, 1.2449
  • Resistance: 1.2770, 1.2922, 1.3016

The US Dollar produced a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern, hinting a move lower against its Canadian namesake may be ahead. A daily close below the 76.4% Fibonacci expansion at 1.2618 exposes the 61.8% level at 1.2524. Alternatively, a push above the 1.2770-97 area (100% Fib, January 30 high) opens the door for a challenge of the 123.6% expansion at 1.2922.

We entered taken profit on half of the position . While the Bearish Engulfing candle setup is a worrisome development, confirmation of reversal is absent for now. With that in mind, the remainder of the position will remain in play with a stop-loss adjusted to the breakeven level.