U.S. Stimulus Faces Dems Barriers
Ashraf Laidi | Oct 22, 2021 12:56AM ET
by Adam Button
Democratic leaders are hoping to have an agreement on a framework for a reconciliation package this week but the margin for error is razor thin. JPY and CHF are the only currencies gaining vs USD as risk appetite pulls back. US Philly dropped to a lower than expected 23.8 from 30.7, while jobless claims dropped to 290K from a revised 296K. Below is Ashraf's estimate for ETH/XAU. Ashraf has released the latest rebalancing of his crypto holdings to the WhatsApp Broadcast Group.
Two reports on Wednesday underscored how difficult it will be for Democrats in the Senate – where the don't have a single vote to spare – to agree to a reconciliation package.
The first report said Sen Machin had mentioned to Biden the possibility of leaving the party and that he had an exit plan where he would first resign his committee position. The story cited anonymous sources but had enough detail to sound credible, though Manchin quickly and vehemently denied it.
The second report said Sen Sinema had told lobbyists she wouldn't support any tax hikes on higher earners or corporations. That would make paying for the package considerably harder and perhaps doom it. That report was thinner on details and there was no follow up as Sinema rarely speaks to the media.
At this point, it's tough to say that a deal is a big factor in market pricing. The reflation trade has sizzled in the past two weeks alongside commodities. There's a strong sense that the infrastructure portion of the deal will get done with or without reconciliation and that's the main driver for raw materials.
Get The News You Want
Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.