US Dollar Recovers as 2024 Kicks Off: What Comes Next?

 | Jan 03, 2024 06:46AM ET

As we kick off January, it's common to witness some fluctuations in the stock market, primarily driven by portfolio adjustments and profit-taking activities. Many investors and fund managers engage in realigning their portfolios at the start of the year, often opting to realize profits from the previous year. This strategy is typically aimed at deferring tax liabilities, as these gains will be taxed in the new tax year, rather than in 2023.

Concurrently, we might observe a rally in the US dollar. This trend is partly influenced by these portfolio adjustments, as investors may temporarily shift towards cash or dollar-denominated assets during this period of rebalancing.
However, it's important to note that these movements are often temporary.

The market is likely to stabilize or even reverse these early trends as the month progresses and investment flows normalize. Additionally, today's release of the Federal Reserve minutes will offer more insights into the central bank's latest meetings. While significant changes in policy are not anticipated, the minutes will provide valuable context to their current stance and future outlook, potentially influencing market sentiments.

Below you can also check my 2024 Elliott wave video outlook.Grega