U.S. Dollar Can Correct Higher

 | Dec 29, 2022 04:12AM ET

Markets are still slow this week, but there was some risk-off on US stocks yesterday, which can help USD index climb a bit higher. From an Elliott Wave perspective, we still see the dollar (equal-weighted) trapped in a wave B consolidation which appears like a triangle that can send prices higher into wave C at some point, possibly next week, after the NY holidays.

On today's schedule, we have crude oil inventories, and US Unemployment Claims may shake the markets a bit, but we do not expect any major breakout. I think markets will be much more volatile and interesting when the USD completes an A-B-C recovery, as shown in the chart below.