US Dollar Bears Crushed As GDP Expanded 4% In Q2
Nathan Kay | Jul 31, 2014 05:08AM ET
Today, the US Gross Domestic Product annualized reading was released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis during the start of the New York session. The forecast was slated for a 3.0% rise in the second quarter of 2014, compared to the 2.1% decrease in the first quarter. The outcome was way above the forecast, as the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States grew by 4.0%. Moreover, the previous reading of the first quarter was also revised up from -2.9% to -2.1%. So, overall the outcome was on the positive side for the US dollar. The reaction in all the major pairs was volatile, as the EURUSD and GBPUSD pairs dived post release, and the USDJPY pair jumped above the 102.80 level. The report published highlights that the jump in the GDP was mainly due to positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports, nonresidential fixed investment, state and local government spending, and residential fixed investment.
US ADP Employment Change Data
Just before the release of the US GDP, the US ADP Employment Change figures were released by the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. The market was expecting a decline from the previous reading of 281K to 230K. However, the outcome was a bit more on the lower side, as the Private-sector employment increased by 218,000 from June to July, according to the report published. The US dollar was seen trading a touch lower after the release, but soon jumped back higher after the US GDP release. The main thing to note from the release is that although there was a decline in the jobs numbers, it is 4th consecutive reading above the 200K mark, which is definitely on the positive side.
Technically, the EURUSD pair fell below the 1.3400 support level, but showing some signs of life around the 1.3360-50 support area. However, the most important point here is the break of the 1.3400 support area, which is an important pivot area for the pair. So, there is a lot of pressure on the Euro bulls from both sides, as the US continues to impress in terms of fundamentals, and the Euro zone continues to deteriorate. The next possible support can be seen around the 1.3320-00 area, which must hold the downside for now in the pair.
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