Treasury Yields, Mortgage Rates Heading Lower?
Doug Short | Nov 18, 2012 12:41AM ET
I've updated the charts below through Friday's close. The S&P 500 is now 7.66% off its interim high set on September 14th, the day after QE3 was announced. We're still above the 10% correction benchmark. The 10-year note closed Friday at 1.58, which is 30 basis points off its interim high of 1.88, also set the day after QE3 was announced. The historic closing low was 1.43 on July 25th. But the big news as of Friday is Freddie Mac's Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The 30-year fixed has set an all-time low of 3.34 percent.
Are yields heading lower? If the post-election selloff in equities continues, the 10-year yield could certainly revisit the levels of late July. Japan is an example (admittedly an extreme one) of a developed nation with its own currency that has experienced a relentless demand for government bonds, as Treasury Yields in Perspective .
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