Travel Ban Partially OK'd: What's In Store For Airlines?

 | Jun 26, 2017 10:37PM ET

In what can be seen as a victory for the Trump administration, the U.S. Supreme Court has reinstated major parts of the President’s travel ban. While allowing major parts of the embargo to take effect , the court said that it will be up for review in October.

The Ruling

The country’s top court ruled in favor (partially) of the U.S. government’s request to do away with preliminary injunctions against ban. Consequently, visitors from six predominantly Muslim nations - Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen - are banned from entering the U.S. for 90 days.

The court also upheld the provision of the ban to suspend the admission of refugees for four months. Additionally, the ruling restricts the number of refugees entering the country to 50,000 this fiscal year. In fact, While making the above rulings, the court added that visitors from the above countries to the U.S. won’t be affected if they are able to prove a bona fide relationship with a person or entity in the country.

We remind investors that initially President Trump issued a ban on travelers from seven predominantly Muslim nations – Iraq, Iran, Syria, Yemen, Sudan, Somalia and Libya – from entering the U.S. in January. However, courts refused to reinstate the ban. Notably, following the opposition, a narrower version was issued by the President in March.

What’s Ahead for Carriers?

The partial reinstatement of the ban, which is aimed at preventing terrorism in the U.S., negatively impacted airline stocks like Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) , United Continental Holdings (NYSE:UAL) and American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) due to fears of declining travel demand. All these three carriers carry a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see forecast CASM (excluding fuel and other special items) following the pay-related agreement with the pilots of its subsidiary Horizon Air.

Apart from high costs, carriers such as United Continental Holdings and Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE) have been laid low by customer-related issues.

Transportation - Airline Industry 5YR % Return

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