Trading Chances: FDAX, ES, USD/JPY, Oil
Markus Gabel | May 03, 2016 05:12AM ET
FDAX:
In this analysis we are looking at the hourly chart, and here we can see two trends. The first is the green uptrend, which has reached the current correction zone (green rectangle), and it seems as though the next movement could be starting very soon. In this case, we must set our stop below the green zone and our primary target at the last high at 10522 points.
The second trend is the red downtrend, which we must also take into consideration. This smaller trend is in a movement, and its correction zone runs between 10152 points and 10364 points on the upper side. I would like to point out that this trend has a corrective character only, and I would suggest that we concentrate on the medium uptrend.
S&P 500 Futures:
This US index is in a completely different situation, because we see a very young downtrend. This trend is in a movement and has started a correction right now. The power of the buyers seems relatively strong, meaning that in this case we can expect the price to reach the lower edge of the correction zone at 2071 points very soon. If this happens, we can look for possible reversal signals and we will go short then.
USD/JPY:
The behavior of the BoJ surprised most of the traders around the world. All of them expected a further slackening of the monetary policy. But the BoJ did not act as expected, and changed nothing. The impact can be seen in the chart. The news came very close to 112 JPY, and the price dropped completely down and continued the current trade. Now we are deep into the movement, and with the knowledge that after a movement comes the next correction, we can expect that this will be the case.
WTI Crude Oil:
The light sweet oil is in a stable uptrend, where it is in a correction. The current correction zone runs from $45.17 down to $43.77, and the price is in the fifth arm of this trend. In my opinion, this is slowly becoming quite mature, and I am expecting more of a trend break than a trend continuation. This situation forces me to stay on the sideline.
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