Toronto-Dominion (TD) Stock Down Despite Higher Q1 Earnings

 | Mar 02, 2020 07:04AM ET

Shares of The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD) declined 6.1% on the NYSE since the release of first-quarter fiscal 2020 (ended Jan 31) results last week. Results reflected rising expenses and higher provisions. Further, concerns related to the impact of coronavirus on the global economy dampened investor confidence.

Adjusted earnings of C$1.66 per share were up 5.7% year over year. Also, adjusted net income grew 4% to C$3.1 billion ($2.4 billion).

Rise in revenues was partly offset by higher operating expenses and provisions. Growth in loan and deposit balances was impressive.

After considering certain non-recurring items, net income summed C$3 billion ($2.3 billion), increasing 24% year over year.

Revenues & Expenses Rise

Total revenues (on an adjusted basis) amounted to C$10.6 billion ($8.1 billion), up 6.1% on a year-over-year basis. This upside resulted from growth in both net interest income and non-interest income.

Adjusted net interest income rose 7.5% year over year to C$6.3 billion ($4.8 billion). Also, adjusted non-interest income came in at C$4.3 billion ($3.3 billion), up 4.1%.

Adjusted non-interest expenses rose 4.6% year over year to C$5.4 billion ($4.1 billion). Adjusted efficiency ratio was 50.9% compared with 51.6% on Jan 31, 2019. Fall in efficiency ratio indicates a rise in profitability.

Provision for credit losses increased 8.1% year over year to C$919 million ($698.3 million).

Strong Balance Sheet, Capital & Profitability Ratios Weaken

Total assets came in at C$1.46 trillion ($1.10 trillion) as of Jan 31, 2020, up nearly 3% from the prior quarter. Net loans inched up 1.3% on a sequential basis to C$693.2 billion ($523.7 billion), while deposits rose 2.4% to C$908.4 billion ($686.2 billion).

As of Jan 31, 2020, common equity Tier I capital ratio was 11.7%, down from 12% as of Jan 31, 2019. Total capital ratio was 15.7% compared with the prior year’s 15.9%.

Return on common equity, on an adjusted basis, came in at 14.6%, down from 15% as of Jan 31, 2019.

Major Development

In November 2019, TD Ameritrade Holding (TSX:TD) announced a deal to be acquired by Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) . Per the terms of the transaction, Toronto-Dominion, which has nearly 43% stake in TD Ameritrade, is likely to have an ownership position of roughly 13% in the combined company. (Read more: Schwab's Buyout of TD Ameritrade to Shake Up Online Brokerage)

Our Take

While Toronto-Dominion’s efforts toward improving revenues, both organically and inorganically, are supported by its diverse geographical presence, rising operating expenses deter bottom-line growth to some extent. Further, rising provisions for credit losses pose a near-term concern.

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