Top 10 Total Bond ETFs

 | Apr 25, 2012 02:09AM ET

For some investors a “one size fits all” approach can be more compelling. After all, it’s easier to deal with just one ETF in a sector than trying to deal with many different subsectors. Lastly, some investors feel they just don’t have the resources to chop their allocation into many different ETFs devoted to bonds. 
 
Therefore we examine a comprehensive list of aggregate bond ETFs to satisfy these investors. This seems more manageable for most investors. Let’s remember, in the fixed-income sector there are many choices but with many being repetitive it’s not necessary to cover them all. In fact most of the choices we list in this review are repetitive although most sponsors would no doubt disagree.
 
Our goal is to cover the most important ETFs within this category using high assets under management, liquidity and / or strategies that make a difference. Newer issues tied to new indices with long (over 5 years) of historical data may be worth investigating, featuring and using if warranted after they become more seasoned. Total Bond ETFs have the characteristic of incorporating many different maturities and issues into one all-inclusive issue. 
 
From a total return view, 2011 was a great year for bond investments generally. 2012 is shaping up as a more challenging environment as further appreciation beyond low yields seems less likely. In 2011, investors fled stock markets and central bankers around the globe were lowering interest rates on fear of stagnant economic growth. Investors sought refuge in bonds and under the mattress.
 
Ultimately accommodative central bank policies, if continued too long, historically will lead to inflation. Central planners can’t have it both ways—fighting deflation and preventing inflation. (The U.S. Fed as of this publication is now 40 months into near zero interest rate policies.) This is why many bond investors have matched their fixed income holdings with gold. Finally we all know the reality the previous year’s winners often become the next year’s losers. With yields this low on many bond ETFs they’re hard to justify given both the twin risks of low to negative yields and longer duration.
 
We feature a technical view of conditions from monthly chart views. Simplistically, we recommend longer-term investors stay on the right side of the 12 month simple moving average. When prices are above the moving average, stay long, and when below remain in cash or short. Some more interested in a fundamental approach may not care so much about technical issues preferring instead to buy when prices are perceived as low and sell for other reasons when high; but, this is not our approach.
 
Members to the ETF Digest receive added signals when markets become extended such as DeMark triggers to exit overbought / oversold conditions. 
 
For traders and investors wishing to hedge, leveraged and inverse issues are available to utilize from ProShares and Direxion and where available these are noted.

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10: PowerShares CEF Income Composite ETF (PCEF) **

PCEF follows the S-Network Composite Closed-End Fund Index which is a rules-based index intended to give investors a means of tracking the overall performance of a global universe of U.S.-listed closed-end funds. CEFX is reconstructed on a quarterly basis from a universe of approximately 350 closed-end funds.
 
The fund was launched in February 2010. The expense ratio is 0.50%. (Remember, holding closed-end funds means you’re paying fees on them in addition to PCEF.) AUM equal $278 M and average daily trading volume is 93K shares. As of April 2012 the annual dividend yield was 8.25% and YTD return was 7.61%. The one year return was 4.09%. 
 
Data as of April 2012
 
PCEF Top Ten Holdings and Weightings

  • Eaton Vance Tax-Mgd Glb Divrs Equity Inc: 5.79%
  • Alliance Bernstein Income Fund: 3.82%
  • Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Divrs Equity Inc: 3.07%
  • Eaton Vance Limited Duration Income: 2.92%
  • Nuveen Multi-Strategy Income & Growth 2: 2.53%
  • Eaton Vance Tx-Mgd Glbl Buy-Write Opp: 2.47%
  • Aberdeen Asia-Pacific Income Fund: 2.43%
  • NFJ Dividend, Interest & Premium Strat: 2.09%
  • Blackrock Build America Bond Trust: 2.05%
  • Nuveen Quality Preferred Income 2: 1.75%