3 Fear-Resistant Commodities
Chris Vermeulen | Mar 09, 2015 01:29PM ET
On Friday, March 6 the US jobs report hit the wires. Equities were trading higher in premarket as we'd seen a strong selloff in the previous session followed by an equally strong high-volume rally. No one was expecting the massive selloff that was about to hit the stock market when the good jobs numbers were posted.
Later that day after 6 1/2 hours of heavy volume selling in the stock market, the closing bell rang. The big selloff pulled most stocks and commodities into an extremely oversold market condition. Traders were waiting all day for some type of bottom to be put in place so they could reenter a long position and day trade the rebound.
But as we learned when the closing bell was ringing, there was no bottom and there were no bounds in equities. Based on my trading platform dashboard, virtually every stock sector country and commodity ETF was trading sharply lower.
Only four things were green on my dashboard. The first one was the VIX, which makes sense as people become fearful when they sell stocks and the volatility index rises. But what was interesting was that the other three were food commodities.
The first commodity trading higher was coffee. This makes sense because it was a stressful day and everyone was drinking coffee. The second was sugar. Obviously the majority of coffee drinkers enjoy sugar in their coffee.
The last commodity, which rallied late in the day, was the ETF cow. (NYSE:COW) is a livestock commodities fund. And so it seems after a long, hard day in the financial markets we find comfort in a big juicy steak. Subscribers to my newsletter and I just happened to get long this fund recently. The chart from a technical stand point is very bullish.
On a more serious side of things... though, the stock market is still in an uptrend. Today's news was a surprise and surprising data will always cause a severe reaction in the market. History has proven that news-based selloffs tend to be a blip on the chart and that markets recover within a couple days as the previous trend once again continues.
After the weekend when the stock market reopens and traders had time to digest the news about the FED possibly raising rates if the economy continues to show strength, it is going to be interesting to see how the market reacts. My guess is that we see higher prices early next week for US equities.
Chris Vermeulen - www.GoldAndOilGuy.com
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